RE and EE Targets
ASEAN Member States (AMS) have been using Renewable Energy (RE) Target as a policy instrument to set the energy development on the supply side. Through RE target, AMS could provide trajectory of RE deployment which is an important indicator for the industry to identify the future opportunities.
In regional landscape, under ASEAN Plan of Action of Energy Cooperation (APAEC), ASEAN also recognised RE target as an important mechanism to accelerate energy transition by setting up aspirational targets of 23% share of RE in Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) and 35% share of RE in ASEAN installed power capacity by 2025.
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
- 10% or 954,000 MWh of renewable energy in power generation mix by 2035
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References:
- Energy White Paper 2014
- Brunei Darussalam’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)
CAMBODIA
- 55% of Hydro, 10% of other renewable energy* in power generation mix by 2030
*Other renewable energy: 6.5% from biomass and 3.5% from solar
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Reference:
- Country Presentation on the 2nd Working Meeting (26-28 March 2019) of ASEAN Energy Outlook 6 (AEO6)
INDONESIA
- 23% of RE (92 Mtoe) in Primary Energy Supply* by 2025
- 31% of RE (310 Mtoe) in Primary Energy Supply** by 2050
- Implementation of B30 (30% bio-diesel blending) by 2025 in Transport, Power, Industry and Commercial Sectors
- RE installed capacity of 45 GW by 2025 and 168 GW by 2050
*Primary Energy Supply (2025): 400 Mtoe
**Primary Energy Supply (2050): 1,000 Mtoe
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References:
- Government Regulation No. 79/2014: National Energy Policy, Article 9, Page 8
- Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR) Regulation No. 12 Year 2015
- Presidential Regulation No. 22-2017 National Energy Roadmap
LAO PDR
- 30% of RE in total energy consumptions by 2025 (not including Large Hydropower)
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Reference:
- Lao PDR’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)
MALAYSIA
- 20% of RE in the power capacity mix by 2025 (Exclude large hydro more than 100MW)
- Implementation of B10 (10% bio-diesel blending) by 2020
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References:
- Malaysia Third National Communication and Second Biennial Update Report to the UNFCCC, Page 58
- National Renewable Energy Policy & Action Plan
MYANMAR
- 38% of Hydropower in total installed capacity* by 2030
- 9% of RE** in total installed capacity by 2030
* Including grid & off-grid
** not including small hydro
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Reference:
- Myanmar Energy Master Plan 2016
PHILIPPINES
- 20 GW of installed capacity from RE by 2040
- Biodiesel 2% blending level by 2019
- Bioethanol 10% blending level by 2019
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References:
- National Renewable Energy Program (NREP) 2011-2030
- Sectoral Energy Plan and Roadmap 2017 – 2040
SINGAPORE
- Solar target of at least 2 gigawatt-peak (GWp) by 2030, and an energy storage deployment target of 200MW beyond 2025
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Reference:
- Singapore’s Energy Story
THAILAND30% of RE in total final energy consumption by 2036
RE in electricity generation by 2036
- Solar 6,000 MW
- Biomass 5,570 MW
- Wind 3,002 MW
- Large Hydropower 2,906.4 MW
- Biogas (energy crop) 600 MW
- Municipal Solid Waste 500 MW
- Industrial Waste 50 MW
- Small Hydropower 376 MW
RE in heat production by 2036
- Solar 1,200 ktoe
- Biomass 22,100 ktoe
- Biogas 1,283 ktoe
- Municipal Solid Waste 495 ktoe
- other RE 10 ktoe
Biofuel Production by 2036
- Biodiesel 14 ML/day, equal to 4,404.82 ktoe
- Bioethanol 11.3 ML/day, equal to 2,103.5 ktoe
- Compressed biomethane gas 4,800 ton/day, equal to 2,023.24 ktoe
- Pyrolysis oil 170.87 ktoe
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Reference:
- Alternative Energy Development Plan 2015 – 2036
VIETNAMRE share in total primary energy consumption (approx.):
- 31.8% (25 Mtoe) in 2015
- 31% (37 Mtoe) in 2020
- 32.3% (62 Mtoe) in 2030
- 44% (138 Mtoe) in 2050
Share of RE-based electricity in the total national production (approx.):
- 35% (58 billion kWh) in 2015
- 38% (101 billion kWh) in 2020
- 32% (186 billion kWh) in 2030
- 43% (452 billion kWh) in 2050
- By 2020: 9.9% of RE in total install capacity; 30.1% of pump-storage hydroelectricity in total install capacity
- By 2025: 12.5% of RE in total install capacity; 21.1% of pump-storage hydroelectricity in total install capacity
- By 2030: 21% of RE in total install capacity; 16.9% of pump-storage hydroelectricity in total install capacity
Increase the proportion of households with solar water-heating devices (approx.):
- 4.3% in 2015
- 12% (1.1 Mtoe) in 2020
- 26% (3.1 Mtoe) in 2030
- 50% (6 Mtoe) in 2050
Scale up biogas technologies devices (approx.):
- 4 million m3 in 2015
- 8 million m3 in 2020
- 60 million m3 in 2030
- 100 million m3 in 2050
Share of biofuels in transportation fuel demand (approx.):
- 150 ktoe in 2015
- 5% (800 ktoe) in 2020
- 13% (3.7 Mtoe) in 2030
- 25% (10.5 Mtoe) in 2050
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References:
- Decision No 2068_2015_RE Development Strategy
- Revised National Power Development Master Plan for the 2011 – 2020 Period with the Vision to 2030 – Decision 428/QD-TTg
On the demand side, Energy Efficiency (EE) targets have been stipulated based on each AMS’ preferences. EE targets are based on energy saving, or energy intensity, or energy consumption. Synergy between higher share of RE on the supply side and reduction of energy use is a key driver of energy decarbonisation to mitigate climate change in ASEAN.
Under APAEC, ASEAN had successfully reduced the Energy Intensity target (TPES/GDP) by 20% in 2020. Furthermore, market transformation initiatives in favour of EE technologies will be implemented in buildings, transport, and industry sectors to achieve the 32% Energy Intensity reduction aspirational target by 2025 based on 2005 levels.
BRUNEI DARUSSALAM
- Reduce total energy consumption by 63% by 2035 compared to a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario.
- Reduce energy intensity (TFEC/GDP) by 45% by 2035 compared to 2005 level
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References:
- Brunei Darussalam’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)
- Energy White Paper 2014
CAMBODIA
- A total of 10% energy reduction in all sectors compared to the BAU by 2030
- Achieve less than 8% transmission and distribution losses
- 15% of energy Intensity reduction in industry sector by 2030
- 15% Increase of Bus Engine Efficiency by 2030
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Reference:
- Country Presentation on the 2nd Working Meeting (26-28 March 2019) of ASEAN Energy Outlook 6 (AEO6)
INDONESIA
- Energy Elasticity < 1 by 2025
- 1% of energy intensity reduction per annum up up to 2025
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Reference:
- Government Regulation No. 79/2014: National Energy Policy, Article 9
LAO PDR
- 10% of total final energy consumption reduction by 2030, compared to BAU
- 20% of total final energy consumption reduction by 2040, compared to BAU
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Reference:
- Country Presentation on the 2nd Working Meeting (26-28 March 2019) of ASEAN Energy Outlook 6 (AEO6)
MALAYSIA
- 8% of demand growth reduction by 2025, equivalent to a total of 233 GWh of electricity savings over a 10-year period from 2016 to 2025
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Reference:
- Malaysia Third National Communication and Second Biennial Update Report to the UNFCCC, Page 58
MYANMAR
- To reduce 12% of energy consumption from Business As Usual (BAU) by 2020
- To reduce 16% of energy consumption from BAU by 2025
- To reduce 20% of energy consumption from BAU by 2030
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PHILIPPINES
- 3% of reduction in energy intensity across key economic sectors
- At least 10% of energy saving on electricity from all sectors by 2040, based on 2016 BAU
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Reference:
- Energy Efficiency and Conservation Roadmap 2017 – 2040
- Philippines Energy Plan (PEP) Energy Demand and Outlook 2017 – 2040
SINGAPORE
- Energy Intensity reduction by 35% in 2030, compared to 2005 level
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Reference:
- Sustainable Singapore Blueprint
THAILAND
- Reduce energy intensity (TFEC/GDP) by 30% in 2036, compared to 2010
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Reference:
- S1-4 Role of Energy Efficiency in Long Term Energy Planning, APERC 20th Joint Symposium, 25 – 27 May 2016 by Dr. Twarath Sutabutr
VIETNAM
- 5-7% of energy saving in the period of 2019-2025
- 8-10% of energy saving in the period of 2019-2030
- Reduce power loss to:
- less than 6.5% by 2025
- less than 6% by 2030
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Reference:
- Vietnam National Energy Efficiency Programme (VNEEP) 2019 – 2030 – Decision 280/QD
