ASEAN Energy Security Beyond the Next Crisis: Governing Through Permanent Uncertainty

Author : Anis Zhafran 02 September 2026

Return to normal is never an option


Before the war, around 120-140 vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz each day, carrying roughly one-fifth of globally consumed petroleum liquids and a similarly significant share of LNG trade.


After hostilities began in late February 2026, traffic collapsed by more than 90 per cent at the height of the disruption, while Brent crude climbed from the low-US$70s before the conflict to as high as US$118 per barrel in late March.


The recovery was uneven: dozens of vessels crossed on some days following the June truce, although laden cargo flows remained around half of pre-war levels, while Brent fell to approximately US$72 per barrel by 26 June.


That improvement proved temporary. When the hostilities resumed after the Iranians buried their deceased Supreme Leader, only three commodity vessels crossed in mid-July, while Brent settled at around US$88 after gaining almost 16 per cent within the week.


Read the full article on BERNAMA.


Cover image credit: ezps / Magnific